What
do the Californians know that we don't?
What is
so special about California? Why is the average price of
a house there five times higher than nationwide? Why on
a salary of $100,000 per year, you can hardly afford to
rent a decent apartment in the large cities there?
It is
true, Californians have a nice looking Pacific
coastline. They also have a pleasant climate. But they
are not the only one. Oregon to the north has a Pacific
coast just as nice. The Oregon's climate is even better
and their taxes are lower. Still everyone wants to live
in California.
The
Californians are a special bunch. They must know
something that other folks don't. Otherwise, how can
they market themselves so successfully? Marketing, you
said? It can't be that simple. Or is it?
How
the Gold Rush made California (or was it the other way
around) ?
California became a state in 1848. Almost at the same
time the Gold Rush stories made California a world-wide
symbol for instant riches. The stuff dreams are made of.
How did
it happen? How did the California myth started? If you
were to discover gold, would you mine it yourself, or
would you tell everyone in town about your discovery?
Well,
when we learn about it, the first Californians were not
that stupid. They tried to mine the golden hills around
San Francisco on their own. Very soon they discovered
that mining gold is hard labor. Big nuggets were few and
far in between. The miners had to crash tons of rocks
for few specks of gold.
What
was the Californians' next step? Stories about gold
nuggets lying on the ground started to appear in every
newspaper in the world. If those stories were true or
not, no one could care less. Those stories sold
newspapers and they also started an avalanche of fortune
seekers descending on California.
While
those new immigrants took upon themselves the hard labor
of extracting the gold from the ground, the Californians
enjoyed their new economic prosperity. They sold tools
and services to the miners. Never mind that the miners
had to pay for a head of lettuce about hundred times
what it cost in New York. The real fortunes were built
on services to the miners. Their profits built San
Francisco.
How
to market houses built on an earthquake fault?
Fast
forward 150 years. California is still the most
successful state in the Union. The value of their
economy is comparable to China, which has 25 times more
population. How do they manage to do that?
Let's
look at California's Real Estate. The most expensive are
the houses that overlook the spectacular Pacific
coastline. Those are the places, where small three
bedroom bungalows can fetch millions of dollars.
Yet the
California coast is also the most problematic ground for
building a Real Estate anywhere in the whole world.
Numerous seismic fault lines run parallel to the coastal
line of California. In simple terms - the California
coast is slowly moving North, while the ocean bed of the
Pacific is moving South. That contradiction produces the
most powerful earthquakes.
How do
they manage to sell all those million dollar homes in
spite of the dangers? Earthquake shocks are quite
frequent, smaller ones happen few times a year. Chances
are that one of them can happen during an open house.
How do they deal with that?
Their
marketing tactics have not changed much from the times
of the Gold Rush. They spread stories about California
riches, then stand back and collect the money from the
newcomers eager to make a fortune. The effect is a
self-fulfilling prophecy.
When
the Gold nuggets are gone, sell the land
For
example, the San Francisco Examiner ran a story about an
illegal Mexican worker, who bought an old house in East
Palo Alto in 2002, very cheap. He rented it to other
Mexican workers, and after a while was able to buy
another cheap house in the same area.
Three
years later he is still an illegal immigrant, but his
two houses increased in value by 300% and are worth now
more than a million dollars.
Stories
like that make us dream of moving to California. What do
the Californians do? Let's see another example.
In 2003
a retired Spanish lady from San Jose bought a lot in the
Montclair area of Oakland for just $18,000. The price
was cheap, because the lot was on tax sale and $18,000
was the amount of back taxes owned to the county.
Why
would a previous owner abandon this lot? He discovered
that it was impossible to build a house upon it, so he
stopped paying taxes. The Spanish lady put it on the
market only one year later, and it sold for $78,000
(yes, this is 433% profit in just one year).
What
did the buyer do? I remind you that it was still
impossible to build upon this lot. The buyer immediately
put the lot back on the market for $230,000 or three
times more than he paid. For a lot in Montclair this is
an attractive price.
The
last time I had seen it, this lot generated lively
interest among prospective buyers, who were eager to
join in the California Real Estate boom.
P.S.
All the numbers are accurate. I can give you this lot’s
APN number, so you can check for yourself in the Alameda
county Tax Assessor office
This is
the introduction to my new book. For new chapters as
they become available visit
Money Management Forum at
Wise-Investment.info
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